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This weekend I was at the Sur le Table in the Ferry Building in San Francisco. I noticed their home espresso displays were about 4:1 pod machines. I asked a salesperson if that reflected their sales ratio. He said "not yet," but that HQ was pushing pod machines and wanted lots of them on display.
Matt Milletto said:The article is "Coffee Steeps in Value Marketing: Even Pricey Espresso Makers Are Touted as Cheap Starbucks Alternatives." For the faint of heart, beware: superautos and pod machines are discussed. Here is the link for online readers, but it may require a subscription: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123199028936584753.html?mod=todays_...Interesting Marshall ... do you have a link?
Can't let that pass without a little history lesson. Before Howard Schultz's time, Starbucks was a coffee, tea and spice shop that didn't even brew coffee. It was just like their mentor, Alfred Peet's shop, in Berkeley, whose coffee they sold in the early days. End of history lesson.BTW... Starbucks was never cool at any point in its history... they were always JUST an espresso bar fast-food coffee shop offering low quality SO coffee.
This is NOT good news for local independents. This is a sign of tough times that we are only on the doorstep of. I would not read this as somehow a victory or any such nonsense. People are not spending money on luxury items, even if they are considered a "small indulgence". I think there is more pain to come. In economic and investing circles there is something called "the myth of decoupling" which essentially states that in a true recession or depression there is no segment that is immuned to its negative effects, despite what some folks would fancy. Some will feel it sooner than others but everyone will feel the effects. The idea that they had it coming or that they lost their touch or that they didn't have good execution or management is simply naive. Brace yourselves people and get your overhead streamlined and don't be cocky if you are doing well right now. And good luck!
This is NOT good news for local independents. This is a sign of tough times that we are only on the doorstep of. I would not read this as somehow a victory or any such nonsense. People are not spending money on luxury items, even if they are considered a "small indulgence". I think there is more pain to come. In economic and investing circles there is something called "the myth of decoupling" which essentially states that in a true recession or depression there is no segment that is immuned to its negative effects, despite what some folks would fancy. Some will feel it sooner than others but everyone will feel the effects. The idea that they had it coming or that they lost their touch or that they didn't have good execution or management is simply naive. Brace yourselves people and get your overhead streamlined and don't be cocky if you are doing well right now. And good luck!
This is a good discussion. Without downplaying the fact that so many people will loose their jobs, which is always a bad thing, I have to agree with the fact that this seems to be a harbinger of better coffee coming. I've always been of the opinion that coffee should be small, local, and artisan. I can see the coffee culture here in Denver shifting towards how Europeans view bread. Some of our friends from Romania were shocked that we would buy loaves of pre-sliced bread which had been sitting in packaging for a week or more. In most of Europe, bread is a local product, bought fresh from a local baker as needed. For them, fresh isn't determined by how well it's packaged; it's the limited amount of time between when it was created and when it's consumed.
If Starbucks' struggles are any indication of a shift towards fresh, artisan coffee, it only reinforces what I'm seeing in Denver. People are becoming more conscious of what they are drinking, and you can't substitute great marketing for a great product and charge a premium price forever. Here in the Mile-Hi city, people are supporting minuscule roasters enough that we have several new ones in the last year which are able to make a go of it, even in this tough business climate. That's saying a lot.
Similar to this, I feel bad for people starting up coffee businesses without a focus on quality, and/or people who desire to do so because it seems like a "cute" concept, or "fun". I have seen a few of these businesses go under very soon after opening in Denver. Coffee is shifting to a more artisan product, and I hope I won't garner too much criticism by saying that as people start to demand higher quality, it will weed out the weaker brands, including independents.
Glad for the discussion on this, and hopefully it raises the idea in peoples' mind that a focus on the basics and treating coffee as a quality product, not a fast food beverage, will lead to success.
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